The Library

Research

Papers, models, and ideas worth knowing — each with a strategy takeaway and a link to the source.

1. № 01

   Draft & Roster Building

   The Loser's Curse in the NFL Draft

   Top draft picks are often overvalued. Trading up tends to cost more in surplus value than it returns.

   Why it matters

   If pick prices exceed expected on-field surplus, teams that move down systematically beat teams that move up.

   Read explainerSource ↗